Industry Analysis Agency Omdia The latest AI Notebook PC shipment forecast data from the Mobile PC Research Team shows that2024 AI laptopsThe shipment volume of AI Notebook PC is about 1 million units, and about 80% of AI notebook PCs are based on ARM chip architecture..
The agency estimates that AI laptop shipments will reach 180.9 million units in 2028, accounting for about 80% of laptop shipments.
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Omdia defines AI laptops as follows:
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The performance of the neural network processing unit (NPU) must be more than 40 TOPS (Tera Operations Per Second);
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DDR5 or LPDDR5 RAM specifications must exceed 16GB;
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The SSD or UFS storage specification must be greater than 256GB.
The agency believes that there will be a demand for Microsoft Win11 operating system replacement starting in 2028: it is inferred that in 2030, Microsoft may stop supporting Win11 operating system. Under this premise,Enterprises are "very likely" to switch from regular laptops to AI-enabled laptops starting in 2028.
On the other hand, by then, the Natural Language User Interface (NLUI) and its ecosystem will have gradually matured. AI laptops can help users switch from the traditional Graphical User Interface (GUI) to the Natural Language User Interface at the input stage (Input), and through generative AI technology, users can immediately obtain the required files or audio and video data at the output stage (Output), saving a lot of time on complicated file and audio operations.This new input and output process will change user behavior and further change the operating processes of existing enterprises.Omdia predicts that this process and ecosystem will gradually take shape in three to four years.
In addition, the agency expects Google to integrate the Gemini AI model into Chromebook products, which will enable more (overseas) primary and secondary school students to start using AI laptops in the future education market.